Wire

Samsung's record beat couldn't stop a memory stock selloff, and Micron (MU) is caught in it

Samsung's record beat couldn't stop a memory stock selloff, and Micron (MU) is caught in it

Key points

  • Samsung's preliminary Q2 operating profit hit 89.4 trillion won ($58.5 billion), up about 18-fold year over year and above analyst consensus.
  • Shares still opened down about 5%, hurt by a large employee bonus provision and profit-taking after a huge run into the print.
  • The selloff is concentrated in memory: Micron, SanDisk, and Western Digital are down around 3%, while Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom are down about half a percent.
  • The Nasdaq 100 itself is only down about 0.5%. This is a memory-chip story, not a market-wide one.
  • All of this is still early. These are after-hours and preliminary-session numbers, and they can move a lot by the time US markets actually open.

We keep saying it and it keeps happening: a company posts a genuinely great quarter, and the stock goes down anyway. Samsung Electronics just delivered one of the best quarters in its history. Its stock opened lower within minutes of the numbers hitting the wire. Micron (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), and Western Digital (WDC) are all down hard in sympathy tonight, and not one of those three companies reported anything themselves today. A quick note before we get into it: this is all still fresh. We are writing this in the after-hours and preliminary Korean session, and these numbers can and probably will shift before regular US trading even opens.

The actual beat

Samsung's preliminary second-quarter operating profit came in at 89.4 trillion won, about $58.5 billion at today's exchange rate. That is up roughly 1,810% from the same quarter last year, and it landed above the roughly 84 to 87 trillion won range analysts were modeling, depending on whose survey you use. Revenue told a slightly different story: 171 trillion won, just under the roughly 173 trillion won consensus, a rare miss buried inside an otherwise record print.

The memory business drove nearly all of it. AI server demand has kept DRAM and NAND pricing firm, and Samsung has been ramping its newer HBM4 chips into that demand. Full segment detail arrives with the audited report on July 23. For now, the headline is simple: this was the best quarter the company has ever reported.

Why the stock fell on a beat this big

Start with the number nobody was modeling for. Samsung agreed to scrap its old 1,000% base-salary bonus cap after labor negotiations and set aside 10.5% of operating profit for employee bonuses instead. That is a real cost, and it ate into how clean the beat actually looked once investors read past the headline. Layer on top of that a stock that had already jumped 8.2% last Friday and kept climbing into Monday, and there was not much room left for a good quarter to still surprise anyone. A record profit that misses on revenue and carries a fresh bonus expense is exactly the kind of print that gets sold into, not bought.

This is a memory story, not a Nasdaq story

The instinct is to call this a tech-wide selloff. Pull up the actual board tonight and that story falls apart fast. Here is the after-hours reaction across the group we are watching, lined up side by side:

StockMove
Micron (MU)-3.7%
SanDisk (SNDK)-3.1%
Western Digital (WDC)-2.9%
Lam Research (LRCX)-2.0%
Applied Materials (AMAT)-1.9%
Broadcom (AVGO)-0.6%
Nvidia (NVDA)-0.5%
AMD-0.5%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)-0.5%

Notice where the damage actually sits. The storage and DRAM names at the top of that list are getting hit several times as hard as the AI compute names near the bottom, and the index itself is barely moving. That is not what a broad tech selloff looks like. It is what a memory-specific reaction looks like, spilling a little into the equipment makers who sell to that industry and barely touching the chips that do the actual AI computing. We saw the same shape on July 1, when chips had their third-worst day of the year and the S&P barely noticed, and again in TeraWulf's Monday fade, a real beat that got sold anyway because the price had already run too far ahead of it.

The Anthropic wrinkle

Some of Samsung's run into this earnings print traces back to reports that Anthropic is in early talks with Samsung about a custom AI chip built on its 2nm process, first reported last Thursday and a big part of Friday's sharp Kospi rebound. Nothing here is finalized. Anthropic has told reporters it has nothing further to add and has been deliberately spreading its hardware bets across Google, Amazon, Nvidia, and reported talks with Microsoft, so a Samsung chip is one option among several, not a signed deal. Treat it as a rumor until Samsung or Anthropic actually confirms something.

What is actually slowing down

Behind all of this sits a real, if modest, deceleration. TrendForce forecasts DRAM contract prices rising 13% to 18% in the third quarter, and NAND 10% to 15%, both still climbing but well off the 58% to 75% jumps logged in the second quarter. Prices are not falling. The pace of the increase is just cooling off, and after a stretch where the whole sector got used to sprinting, even settling into a jog is apparently enough to spook people.

The next catalyst lands Friday, when SK Hynix's roughly $29 billion Nasdaq listing begins trading under the ticker SKHY, the largest ADR listing on record. How that debuts will say a lot about whether today's reaction is a one-day flinch or the start of something longer.

Sources

This story is still developing. Every price here is from the after-hours session and Korea's preliminary Tuesday, July 7, 2026 trading, taken Monday evening into Tuesday, and every one of them can change by the time US markets open, let alone by the time you read this. This is general market news and commentary, not investment advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.

Frequently asked questions

Why did Samsung stock fall after beating earnings estimates?

Samsung's preliminary Q2 2026 operating profit came in at 89.4 trillion won ($58.5 billion), about 6% above the roughly 84.4 trillion won consensus and up about 18-fold year over year. Despite the beat, shares opened down about 5%, hurt by a new employee bonus provision (Samsung agreed to scrap its 1,000% base-salary bonus cap and set aside 10.5% of operating profit for bonuses) and profit-taking after the stock had already run up sharply into the print.

Is this a broad tech selloff or something specific to memory chips?

It is concentrated in memory. Micron (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), and Western Digital (WDC) are all down more than 4%, and memory-equipment makers Applied Materials (AMAT) and Lam Research (LRCX) are down about 2.6%. Nvidia (NVDA), AMD, and Broadcom (AVGO) are down 1% or less, and the Nasdaq 100 (tracked via QQQ) is down only about 0.7%, so this reads as a memory-specific reaction rather than a market-wide one.

Is Anthropic really building a custom chip with Samsung?

Not confirmed. Reports first surfaced that Anthropic is in early talks with Samsung about a custom AI chip on Samsung's 2nm process, but Anthropic has said it has nothing further to add and is known for spreading its hardware bets across multiple partners, including Google, Amazon, Nvidia, and reported talks with Microsoft. Treat it as an unconfirmed report, not an announced deal.

Are DRAM and NAND prices actually falling?

No. TrendForce forecasts DRAM contract prices rising 13% to 18% quarter over quarter in Q3 2026, and NAND rising 10% to 15%, both still increasing but well below Q2's 58% to 75% jumps. Prices are still going up, just at a slower pace, and that deceleration alone appears to be enough to trigger profit-taking in a sector priced for the faster pace to continue.

Dennis Singleton
Dennis Singleton

Dennis Singleton has followed the markets closely for years and still finds them genuinely fascinating. He writes about stocks, AI, and semiconductors in plain language, cuts through the hype, and is straight about the risks as well as the upside. He does this because he wants readers to win.