The VIX is up 8% today. Gold, bonds and Bitcoin are all down anyway.

The VIX is up 8% today. Gold, bonds and Bitcoin are all down anyway.

Key points

  • Energy is today's clear winner. Energy stocks are up 2.2% and an oil fund is up 4.3%, extending the weekend's Iran and Strait of Hormuz move.
  • Gold and silver are both down more than 2%, even with the weekend's geopolitical escalation. That is not the usual pattern.
  • Software is up about 1%, defensive sectors (staples, utilities, healthcare, real estate) are up small, financials are roughly flat, and technology broadly, industrials, materials and consumer discretionary are lower.
  • Bonds, Bitcoin and the VIX all point the same direction: real risk-off, but not a flight into the usual safe havens.

These figures are intraday, taken around 11:30am ET on July 13, 2026, roughly two hours into the trading session. They will move before the close, and this piece will not be updated after publishing.

Where the money is going

Energy stocks, tracked by the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE), are up 2.2% today, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) is up 4.3%, both extending the weekend's oil move tied to Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Software, tracked by the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV), is up about 1%. A handful of defensive sectors are up small: consumer staples (XLP) up 0.4%, communication services (XLC) up 0.4%, real estate (XLRE) up 0.3%, and utilities (XLU) and health care (XLV) both up 0.2%.

Where the money is leaving

Technology broadly, tracked by the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK), is down 1.2%, weighed down by chip and memory names. Industrials (XLI) are down 0.6%, consumer discretionary (XLY) is down 0.5%, materials (XLB) are down 0.3%, and financials (XLF) are roughly flat. The Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) is down 1.1% and the Russell 2000 (IWM) is down 0.6%, both worse than the S&P 500 (SPY), down 0.4%.

The outlier: gold and silver are falling too

Gold, tracked by SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), is down 2.3% today, and silver, tracked by the iShares Silver Trust (SLV), is down 2.7%. That runs against the textbook pattern of gold catching a bid when the Middle East escalates, which is what happened over the weekend. It is not an isolated move either: Bitcoin is down 1.6%, and both Treasury bond funds we track, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF), are down 0.4% and 0.2%. None of the usual safe havens are catching a bid today.

What the fear gauge says

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is up 7.6% today, to 16.17. That confirms real risk-off sentiment in the tape, consistent with South Korea's Kospi crash and circuit breaker and the memory and chip stock selloff that followed it into US trading. What stands out is where that fear is not flowing today: gold, bonds and Bitcoin are all lower, not higher. Instead it is concentrated in energy buying and a rotation out of chips.

Sources

This is general market commentary and opinion, not investment advice. These are intraday figures and can change significantly before the market closes. Markets can go down as well as up, and you can lose money. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.

Frequently asked questions

Where is money rotating in the market today?

As of around 11:30am ET on July 13, 2026, energy stocks and oil are the clearest winners, up 2.2% and 4.3%. Software is up about 1%, and defensive sectors, consumer staples, utilities, health care and real estate, are up small. Technology broadly, industrials, consumer discretionary, materials and small caps are all lower. These are intraday figures and can change before the close.

Why is gold falling despite the Middle East tensions?

Gold is down 2.3% and silver is down 2.7% today, even after Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. That runs against the usual pattern of gold catching a safe haven bid on this kind of escalation. Gold has been declining since its January 2026 peak, which suggests the war risk is already priced in rather than triggering fresh buying.

Are bonds or Bitcoin acting as safe havens today?

No. Treasury bond funds (TLT and IEF) are both down slightly, and Bitcoin is down about 1.6%. None of the traditional safe haven assets, gold, bonds or Bitcoin, are catching a bid today, even with the VIX up 7.6%.

Is technology broadly down today, not just chip stocks?

Yes. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) is down 1.2% and the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) is down 1.1%, both dragged lower by chip and memory names. Software, tracked separately by the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV), is a bright spot within tech, up about 1%.

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Dennis Singleton
Dennis Singleton

Dennis Singleton has spent years following the markets, but what keeps his attention is how AI is built. He writes about the companies behind the technology, from semiconductor designers and advanced packaging to photonics, memory, networking, and the hardware powering modern AI. His approach starts with filings, earnings, and industry research, then translates the important details into clear, straightforward analysis without unnecessary hype.