The quick version
- Nokia isn't a phone company anymore. It sells the network and data-center gear the AI buildout runs on.
- Nvidia (NVDA) put $1 billion into Nokia in October for a 2.9% stake and a 6G partnership.
- The stock ran about 170% in a year, then gave back roughly 22% in June on profit-taking and the AI selloff.
- The "BlackBerry earnings" people lumped this drop in with? Different company. BlackBerry (BB) actually beat and popped about 30%.
- Still above its 200-day average, golden cross intact, but volatile. Next earnings July 23. My take: a little undervalued, so I'm holding.
Alright, let's talk Nokia. Yeah, that Nokia, the brick your dad had in 2003 that could survive getting run over by a truck. The old dinosaur has quietly turned into one of the more interesting AI plays nobody talks about, and this week it got taken to the woodshed. I'm still holding. Here's why I'm not sweating it.
How we got here
Nokia stopped being a phone company ages ago. Today it sells the guts of networks, the gear that moves data for telecoms and, more and more, for AI data centers. Three things flipped the script. In October, Nvidia (NVDA) invested $1 billion for a 2.9% stake and a partnership to build AI-RAN gear and push 5G to 6G. Nokia also brought in CEO Justin Hotard back in 2025, straight from running Intel's data center business, and he has pointed the whole company at AI. And it bought Infinera in a $2.3 billion optical deal for the AI data-center backbone. Last quarter, AI and cloud revenue jumped 49% and management raised guidance and the dividend. The stock ran about 170% to a 17-year high.
So why'd it get smoked?
It ran too far, too fast, and the whole AI and chip trade rolled over in late June. Nokia ran to the mid-$16s in early June and bled to about $13 by Friday, roughly a 22% haircut. Some was profit-taking after a monster run, some was nerves about telecom demand, and a big chunk was the broader chip selloff dragging everything AI-flavored down. When the tide goes out, even good boats drop.
Quick myth-buster: the BlackBerry thing
This drove me nuts, so let me clear it up. People lumped Nokia's drop in with "the BlackBerry earnings." Different company. BlackBerry (BB), the other 2000s phone brand, reported on June 25 and crushed it, first positive cash-flow quarter in nine years, raised guidance, stock up about 30% in two days (we broke that down here). That news was good, and it had nothing to do with Nokia. People just mash the two old logos together.
The chart (because I'm a chart guy)
Even after getting punched in the mouth, Nokia is sitting way above its 200-day moving average (down around $8.40, and we're near $13). The golden cross from October, when the 50-day crossed over the 200-day, is still intact. That's the longer-term setup I like. Short term it's ugly, we're under the 50-day (about $13.50) and the 20-day (about $14.70), so momentum cooled off. But the big trend hasn't broken. To me that's a pullback in an uptrend, not a top falling apart.
Why I'm holding
My take: it's a little undervalued. A company that got a billion-dollar vote of confidence from Nvidia, an ex-Intel data-center CEO, real AI growth and a raised outlook, trading in the low teens because the market tossed it out with the AI bathwater. Next earnings hit July 23, and given they already raised guidance, I think there's a real shot they post good numbers. So I'm holding, and I wouldn't hate adding if it keeps going on sale.
Here's the kicker: Nokia insiders were buying in the open market in late May at over $15. The CEO's chief of staff grabbed about 44,000 shares near $16, and another senior manager bought around $15.35. It's around $13 now, so I'd be getting in cheaper than they did.
Don't get it twisted though, this thing is volatile. It's a low-priced, retail-heavy stock that can drop 8% on a random Friday (it did on June 5, then about 7% more on June 26) or rip just as fast. If the AI trade stays cold or telecom spending softens, it can keep heading lower, and July earnings could go either way. I'm holding for the long-term story and the chart, not because it's safe. It isn't. We'll see if I look smart or dumb. That's the fun of it.
Nothing here is investment advice, and I hold a position in NOK. Prices and figures are approximate and as of late June 2026, and they change fast. Nokia is volatile. Do your own research and size your risk.
