Columns
Portfolio Watch and personal columns from AIStockWire writers, with positions disclosed.
Is money rotating out of AI stocks and into Bitcoin and gold? Nvidia decides Wednesday
Five red days for the Nasdaq, a 30% rip in Bitcoin, and a record payout that sank Samsung. It all points to one thing: the market is holding its breath for Nvidia.
An AI dating app signed up 160,000 college students. Match Group (MTCH) and Bumble (BMBL) have to be watching this.
A Bay Area startup replaced swiping with a text-based AI matchmaker and signed up 160,000 college students. Match Group and Bumble are already fighting the same Gen Z problem it's built to solve.
AI stock battle week 5: all six AIs lost money for the first time and all six are still up (August 22, 2026)
All six models lost money in the same week for the first time. Applied Optoelectronics opened a new $600 million stock program after the close and fell about 10% by the settle.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood week 9: it wrote down why indie Semiconductor (INDI) was a bad buy, then bought it
Claude AI flagged the indie Semiconductor (INDI) setup as the shape of most of its past losses, bought it anyway, and was stopped out 23 hours later. Both stops fired within two seconds of Tuesday's open as chip stocks sold off. The account is down about a third.
The AI trade rotates to a new sector every week. Which one is it going to be this week?
The AI trade has rotated by sector almost every week: software, then photonics, then memory. So which corner of AI runs next? I make the case for the one group that keeps riding along without ever leading.
AI stock battle week 4: Grok took the lead, and ChatGPT's one trade broke the rules (August 15, 2026)
Grok took the lead without making a single trade in four weeks. ChatGPT finally tried to move and picked the one stock the rules would not let it buy.
Ondas (ONDS) posted record revenue and raised guidance. The number I care about is Q4.
Ondas posted record revenue and raised its full-year target, then the stock fell on a wider loss. I own ONDS at about $9. The Q2 print was never the point, the Q3 and Q4 numbers are.
Nebius (NBIS) soars 27% as explosive AI demand burns Michael Burry's short
Nebius grew Q2 revenue 454% to $582 million, swung to a profit, and jumped about 27% as CEO Arkady Volozh said AI demand keeps growing exponentially. The whole data center trade rallied, and Michael Burry's fresh short went underwater.
CoreWeave (CRWV) crushed earnings and Cramer's IREN call aged well. Then Nebius (NBIS) crushed it too.
CoreWeave crushed its quarter and jumped about 15% after hours, five days after Jim Cramer told a caller to buy CRWV over IREN and called it cheaper and better. The backlog hit $104 billion. Nebius (NBIS) reports Wednesday morning, and it's the next test for the whole neocloud trade.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood week 8: its first winning trade was worth $1.87
After seven straight losses, Claude AI finally booked a winning trade. It sold most of a SoundHound (SOUN) position into a rally for one dollar and eighty-seven cents, then bought a quiet chip stock, Navitas (NVTS), on its own read. The account is still down about 32%.
Kioxia spent its entire $5 billion buyback in six trading sessions
Kioxia had until October 30 to spend $5.0 billion buying its own stock. It finished on August 10, six sessions in, at an average of 49,586 yen ($312 USD) a share. Toshiba sold into day one and lost the largest shareholder spot. What the pace and the September guide say for SanDisk (SNDK) and Micron (MU).
13 of Jim Cramer's last 15 tech calls beat the Nasdaq. The stocks he told people to avoid did even better.
I built a page to track how wrong Jim Cramer is. Right now 13 of his last 15 tech calls are beating the Nasdaq, and the stocks he waved people off are doing better than the ones he liked.
AI stock battle week 3: all six AIs finished up at least 16%, DeepSeek up 24% (August 8, 2026)
All six AI models finished week 3 up at least 16%. DeepSeek leads at $12,407, up 24%, on a book of five companies that all lose money, and four of the six made no trades at all.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) did a double beat and guided up 42%. Why did the stock tank to $115 before clawing back?
AAOI did a double beat and guided Q3 up 42%. After the report the stock spiked to $142, tanked to $115, then clawed back to around $125. I own it, I'm holding, and here's why I think next week is the real move.
Ondas (ONDS) is up 16% this week on three straight wins, and the loudest trading day wasn't the biggest price move.
Ondas jumped 12% the day David Barnea joined, then posted its loudest volume of the week on the Army order without much price movement at all. I own ONDS at $9, and here's the honest math on backlog, dilution and what August 13 needs to show.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, week 7: It wrote a longer risk memo than the trade was worth
Claude AI ran five-minute bars on four stocks, caught an earnings call that had been quietly postponed, computed a risk-reward ratio and wrote a memo against its own trade. Then it bought four shares of a battery company and went red in twenty minutes.
SpaceX (SPCX) beat on every line. The 911 million share unlock Thursday took the whole rally back
SpaceX beat on revenue, EPS and every segment in its first quarter as a public company. The stock rose 9.4%, then handed the whole move back. The reason is Thursday, when 911.5 million shares unlock against a float of about 646 million.
The FCC may ban Chinese optical transceivers. Photonics stocks exploded, and Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) has run nearly 70% in four sessions.
Reuters says the FCC is drafting a rule that would ban imports of all new optical transceiver models, then exempt many non-Chinese suppliers. The photonics group repriced on it Tuesday morning, and AAOI, down 66% since May, ran the hardest.
I run an Inverse Cramer tracker. Jim Cramer just went 6 for 8, led by Astera Labs' 30% rally.
I built a page to track how wrong Jim Cramer is, and I like the guy anyway. Six of his last eight tech calls beat the Nasdaq, and the one that didn't is the one holding my whole tracker up.
AMD gave Meta and OpenAI warrants on 320 million shares at a penny. They're now worth about $152 billion.
AMD issued Meta and OpenAI warrants on 160 million shares apiece at an exercise price of $0.01, vesting on 6 GW of Instinct shipments and a $600 share price. At Friday's close the pair is worth about $152 billion against $3.2 million to exercise. AMD's Q1 10-Q says none of it has vested or touched the financial statements yet.
SanDisk (SNDK) beat every line and guided way above consensus. The stock fell anyway.
SanDisk (SNDK) reports fiscal Q4 on August 5 with Goldman's target at $2,200 and the stock at $1,214.87 after a 5.1% Friday drop. SK Hynix printed a 76% operating margin on July 29 and Seoul still closed down 9.61%, because revenue missed consensus by 5.5%.
AI stock battle week 2: DeepSeek led every day until Friday, then Claude took it (August 1, 2026)
DeepSeek finished first at every close of week 1 while Claude sat last on Monday. Then Ambarella rose 16% on Friday and the order flipped. Plus a holding that got acquired and delisted mid-contest, and the first week of models choosing their own position sizes.
SpaceX (SPCX) took every space stock down with it, and it started the day it filed, not the day it listed. Rocket Lab (RKLB) is the one I'd own
SpaceX filed its S-1 on May 20 and space stocks went vertical, then broke. Every name in the group now trades below its pre-filing price. Why Rocket Lab (RKLB) is the one I'd buy out of it.
The Nasdaq fell six days straight, then chips ripped. Microsoft, Samsung, and Citadel buying out Aschenbrenner all landed inside 18 hours.
The Nasdaq's six-day losing streak ended at exactly six, which our own history piece said was the single most likely outcome. Microsoft's $678 billion backlog, Samsung's call that the chip crunch runs to 2028, and Citadel buying the bulk of a leveraged $24 billion book all arrived between Wednesday's close and Thursday afternoon.
Microsoft (MSFT) grew Azure 43% with $678 billion already booked. That is what Nvidia (NVDA) and Micron (MU) needed to hear.
Microsoft held its capital spending outlook near $190 billion, grew Azure 43% and rose 7.6% after hours. Meta raised its capex range by $10 billion at the low end, missed on earnings at $6.18 against a $7.14 estimate, and fell 9.0%. The market stopped scoring hyperscalers on capex announcements and started scoring them on whether the revenue arrives. That is a better setup for Nvidia, Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor than another spending headline, though it does nothing about the memory supply problem that actually caused July.
SK Hynix (SKHY) missed consensus by 5.5%. I sat through the call and I'm still holding
I was signed into the SK Hynix earnings call last night, watching SKHY drop and trying to figure out why. The company came in 5.5% under estimates on the best quarter it has ever had, but the margin held at 76% and the shortfall was HBM4 shipments sliding into the second half. Seoul took the stock down 19.6% intraday. I own SKHY at $154 and I'm not selling this one.
Citadel says the Fed hikes Wednesday. All 104 economists Reuters asked say it won't (MU, NVDA, July 28, 2026)
I was sure Citadel's rate call knocked the Nasdaq down 2% Tuesday morning. Nvidia (NVDA) was green while Micron (MU) fell 7.69% and the 2-year yield never moved, so it was not the Fed at all. It was Seoul. Here is the split that actually matters at 2 p.m. Wednesday.
Michael Burry posted three charts making the AI bear case. Two of them show the selling already happened.
Burry shared three Bloomberg charts on the AI trade. One maps the circular deals around Nvidia (NVDA). The other two show big tech forward multiples back at or below their 10-year averages, with Apple (AAPL) the lone expensive name and the only megacap missing from the circular map.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, week 6: It swapped CleanSpark (CLSK) for D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) and quit 23 minutes later
Claude AI's CleanSpark (CLSK) stop fired Monday for a $2.36 loss and was right, since CLSK fell another 10% after. Then it bought D-Wave (QBTS) at Tuesday's open into a chip crash, sold 23 minutes later for $1.80, and filed a report two minutes after that saying it had not traded.
Michael Burry's picks: the Micron (MU) bet is up 17%. He has been averaging down on Lululemon (LULU) since 2025.
Burry deregistered Scion, so the 13F trail stopped and his trades now surface first on a newsletter with 300,000 subscribers. Here is everything he has disclosed since June, priced as of July 27. The point of laying them out together is that he is not always right.
Nasdaq futures were up over 1% and things looked good. Then chips tanked and took the whole gain with them, led by ASML, Micron (MU) and Nvidia (NVDA) (July 27, 2026)
Futures pointed to a strong open on the Iran ceasefire and a 6.79% drop in oil. QQQ opened up 1.09% and was negative within the hour. Three chip headlines did it, and two of them came out of China: a domestic DUV lithography report that hit ASML, and CXMT's Shanghai debut that hit Micron.
If I had $1,000 for one AI chip stock, I'd buy SK Hynix (SKHY) over Nvidia (NVDA), Micron (MU) and AMD
Nvidia and SK Group signed a $500 billion AI infrastructure deal late Friday night, after both New York and Seoul had closed for the week. Given $1,000 for one of the four AI chip stocks, I'd put it in SK Hynix, which trades at 5.6 times forward earnings even after its 28% ADR premium against 6.4 for Micron.
Michael Burry sent readers to a BIS report on AI's poorly disclosed deals. Oracle (ORCL) reports $638 billion in one line.
Michael Burry spent July 23 pointing his readers at a Bank for International Settlements report on how AI deals get financed. The clearest illustration sits in an Oracle (ORCL) filing: a $638 billion backlog reported as one aggregate line, with the customer split left to S&P to estimate.
I gave six AIs $10,000 for AI stocks. Five bought SoundHound (SOUN), one bought a construction company.
Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and Meta AI each got a paper $10,000 and five slots, capped at $10 billion. Five bought SoundHound. Claude bought a gas-plant builder. Two of them broke the rules on the first try.
Everyone's asking if AI is the next dot-com bubble. Nvidia and 25 companies just gave a clue.
Nvidia rallied 25 companies behind open AI models, and OpenAI and Anthropic sat it out. Here's why I think their coming IPOs, not this fight, mark the real top of the AI bubble.
Every Friday this month has been different, and the trend says today should be green (July 24, 2026)
Futures are pointing modestly higher Friday morning after Thursday's brutal tech selloff, even with oil crossing $100 a barrel on Middle East tensions and Korea's Kospi and Kosdaq getting crushed overnight. This is what actually happened, and what we're watching before the close.
Intel (INTC) just reported the earnings I called the real catalyst. Revenue grew 25%, and the company posted an $11 billion loss.
Intel beat revenue and EPS estimates by a wide margin, but a CHIPS Act accounting charge turned the quarter into an $11 billion GAAP loss. Here is what the numbers actually mean, and why I am still holding the stock.
The House passed a $1.15 trillion defense bill. I think Lockheed Martin (LMT) is due for a bounce, and tomorrow's earnings are the real test.
The House passed a $1.15 trillion defense authorization bill Wednesday and defense stocks rallied, but not evenly. Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman are still down 25% to 30% from their 2026 highs, RTX and General Dynamics already recovered, and Lockheed reports earnings Thursday morning.
IBM earnings are tonight. The stock crashed 25% and the government is betting $1 billion on its quantum future (July 22, 2026)
Down 38 percent in seven weeks, still falling into tonight's call, with a government-backed quantum business nobody is talking about.
Senator Jerry Moran bought Berkshire Hathaway for the third time since May, then bought back Google 11% below where he'd sold it a month earlier
Sen. Jerry Moran's July 21 disclosure shows he bought Berkshire Hathaway on June 23, his third purchase of the stock since late May, and bought back Alphabet the same day, about 11% below the price he'd sold it at a month earlier. Here's what the filing shows and how both stocks have moved since, hours before Alphabet's own Q2 earnings report.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, week 5: it passed on CleanSpark (CLSK) near its low, then bought it at the highs
Two weeks ago, with CleanSpark (CLSK) around $12.65, Claude AI called it a falling knife and passed, buying MSTR instead, which lost money. Then CleanSpark landed a $6.6 billion AI data center lease. This morning Claude AI finally bought CLSK, at $15.53, about 23% above where it passed.
Micron (MU), SK Hynix and AMD just gave chip stocks their first back-to-back gain in two weeks (July 21, 2026)
Micron (MU) closed up about 12 percent, SK Hynix's ADR about 14 percent, and AMD 8 percent Tuesday, chip stocks' first back-to-back gain in two weeks. A Bank of America upgrade on memory demand and a new AMD-Microsoft Azure deal did the heavy lifting.
Michael Burry cut his Oracle (ORCL) short in half, and says reports he closed it are fake news
Michael Burry sold half his Oracle (ORCL) puts on July 17 after a 63% stock plunge, then called reports that he'd fully exited the short "fake news." The same post added Nvidia (NVDA) puts, more DraftKings (DKNG), and a skeptical read on Netflix (NFLX).
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, week 4: It's 0 for 4, then it passed on IREN's 17% jump, and watched it run higher
Claude AI is 0 for 4 with my $100 and the account is down to $74.59. On Monday it built an order for IREN at $39.45, then found that the same stock had popped on the same news back on July 6 and given back 23%, and walked away. IREN ran higher without it.
Ondas (ONDS): 214 million shares of volume, 32% short interest, and a stock that still closed red
Ondas (ONDS) traded about 214 million shares today, more than double its two week average, yet the stock still closed down. Here's what the volume, the DZYNE share unlock, and the 32% short interest actually add up to.
China's Xi Jinping just launched a 29-nation AI bloc. That's bullish for US AI stocks (NVDA, PLTR)
Xi Jinping used the 2026 World AI Conference in Shanghai to launch a 29-nation World AI Cooperation Organization and take a shot at US chip export controls. History says Washington answers moves like this with money, and that is bullish for the US AI trade.
Dan Crenshaw sold Google, Amazon, Apple and Meta on the same day, then bought a leveraged oil fund
Rep. Dan Crenshaw's July 16 disclosure shows he sold Google, Amazon, Apple, Meta and a leveraged financial ETF all on the same day, then bought a leveraged oil fund instead. A separate trade in the same filing closed out a Meta options bet right after the stock's roughest day of the year.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, week 3: it sold MSTR right at the low and it gapped up 6% the next morning
The AI running my $100 Robinhood account cut MicroStrategy (MSTR) at $90.93 on Monday. Tuesday morning MSTR gapped up about 6%. It drives me insane, but the deal was that Claude makes the calls, so I am letting it ride.
Chips got smoked today. Tomorrow's CPI report at 8:30am decides what happens next.
Arm, Coherent, Micron, AMD and Nvidia fell between 3.5% and 7.5% Monday while Microsoft, Apple and Amazon finished green. The selling stayed inside crowded AI infrastructure names. Tuesday's 8:30am CPI report could send the same stocks sharply either way, and the real risk isn't even in the data yet.
Gloo's executive chair is the former CEO of Intel and VMware. He just bought $500,000 of the stock.
Gloo Holdings priced a follow-on offering at $3.25 a share on July 8, and the stock fell about 24% the next session. Two days later, Form 4 filings showed CEO Scott Beck, board member Derek Todd Green, and executive chair Pat Gelsinger, the former Intel and VMware CEO, bought a combined $6 million of the deal themselves.
A farming stock jumped 51% overnight by rebranding into AI real estate
Braiin (BRAI), a farming tech company, jumped 51% on a single press release announcing an AI real estate product. Volume spiked 230 times normal. Here is the pop, and the risk behind it, compared with the real AI real estate trade in Equinix and Digital Realty.
We built a stock score tool. It gave Intel a D, and I bought the stock anyway.
One pick in every layer of the AI hardware stack, each one graded by the SEC-filings scoring tool we just built. Four picks agree with the tool: NVDA, WDC, TSM, VRT. Micron is a partial. INTC and COHR do not agree with the tool at all, and I am holding both anyway.
Strive's (ASST) new SEC filing: 19,900 bitcoin held, and 480,000 new shares sold in one week to keep buying
Strive's Monday 8-K says it bought 18 bitcoin at a $64,028 average. The more telling numbers are further down the filing: 480,351 new shares issued in eight days, $44 million of Strategy's preferred stock, and coins already worth less than the company paid.
Intel hired away SK Hynix's memory boss, and nobody's pricing that in yet
The government owns 10% of Intel. It hired SK Hynix's former CEO to run advanced packaging, not to build DRAM. Here's why that combo, plus July 23 earnings, has me watching INTC closely.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, end of week 2: it dumped RCAT at a 13% loss and bought MSTR instead of anything I wanted
Claude, the AI running my $100 Robinhood agentic account, finally cut Red Cat at a 13% loss. Then it ignored every discounted ticker I suggested and put nearly the whole account into MicroStrategy. End of week 2 letting Claude trade my money.
SK Hynix (SKHY) passed Samsung for one day in South Korea. My theory on why it ran to the Nasdaq
On June 22 SK Hynix passed Samsung as South Korea's most valuable company for the first time in 25 years. It lasted one day, and the Kospi hit circuit breakers the next session. Here's my theory on why that's exactly why SKHYV just sprinted to the Nasdaq.
Hedge fund Point72 disclosed a stake in Freenome's SPAC merger, days before the vote got delayed (PCSC)
Point72's Steve Cohen disclosed a 5.7% stake in the SPAC merging with cancer-detection startup Freenome, right as the shareholder vote to close the deal got pushed back a week.
T1 Energy (TE) is down today while tech rallies. Here's why I added to my position anyway.
T1 Energy (TE) fell about 1% today while the Nasdaq and tech sector rallied. Short interest is high, a Fuzzy Panda short report is still unresolved, and there's unconfirmed chatter on X that Leopold Aschenbrenner sold his stake. I added to my position yesterday anyway. Here's why.
A senator sold Apple and Nvidia in June. He bought Coherent and Micron instead.
Senator Sheldon Whitehouse's latest disclosure shows he sold Apple and Nvidia in late June, then bought Coherent and Micron the same week. Here's what the filing actually shows, and how each stock has moved since.
SharonAI (SHAZ) is down 13% today after a wild week. Here's what Leopold Aschenbrenner has disclosed since our last look
SharonAI (SHAZ) has moved from $85 to $68 to $80 to $70 in the week since our stake deep dive. A price update, plus a new filing showing Leopold Aschenbrenner's fund anchoring SK Hynix's Nasdaq debut.
A week ago I called my SK Hynix (SKHY) trade. I sold the $190 spike and bought the $154 dip.
David Han laid out a specific SK Hynix (SKHY) trade theory on July 7: a debut spike, Micron riding the sympathy wave, then a memory selloff as the excitement drained out. A week later it mostly played out, and he sold SKHY near $190 and bought back at $154. The original call is left exactly as written.
My $100 Claude AI trade in RCAT: still holding, week 2
The Robinhood Agentic AI's first pick, Red Cat (RCAT), is down about 5% heading into week 2. Here is why I am not selling, the real drone-program news that came out over the holiday, and where the cut line and target still sit.
Why I bought a small position in SharonAI (SHAZ)
I picked up a small SharonAI (SHAZ) position Thursday near the lows. Here is the Nvidia deal, the Leopold Aschenbrenner and Anthropic angle, and the real risks a short report raised.
Congressman Gil Cisneros bought Argan (AGX) on its highest day of 2026
Congressman Gil Cisneros disclosed a $15,001 to $50,000 purchase of Argan (AGX) dated June 30, 2026, the stock's highest close of the year. It is down 27.4% since. Five Argan insiders sold $84.0 million in June, none of it under a prearranged plan.
Michael Burry shorted Micron (MU) from $1,052, a bet the chip pain is not over
Michael Burry disclosed a new short on Micron (MU), reported near $1,052, even after the stock had already crashed from $1,255. It closed July 2 at $975.77, so the short is working, and it fits his wider bet against AI chips.
I let Claude AI trade $100 of my money and it bought Red Cat (RCAT)
I funded Robinhood's new Agentic AI account with $100 and let Claude trade for me. Its first pick was Red Cat (RCAT) at $10.68, an Army drone stock I would not have grabbed myself. Two days in, it is green, and I still cannot fully explain the pick. My honest, slightly humbling take.
Michael Burry is betting against Tesla (TSLA) and Caterpillar (CAT), days after making a multi-year bet Microsoft (MSFT) rises
Michael Burry disclosed five new short positions on June 30, including a first-ever bet against Caterpillar (CAT), just days after a multi-year bet that Microsoft (MSFT) shares would rise. Every price he disclosed, and where the trades stand now.
What is SharonAI (SHAZ)? Inside the AI cloud stock Leopold Aschenbrenner just took to a 19.9% stake
A deep dive on SharonAI Holdings (SHAZ), the thinly-traded AI GPU-cloud stock Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness just took to a 19.9% stake, plus the price action since his position became visible: roughly $57.50 in mid-May to about $88 now.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) popped today and I'm still long. Here's my real thesis, and why I'm ignoring the AMD rumor.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) jumped about 9% today. My take: the real thesis is the $1.1B-plus revenue guide, the $200M 1.6T order, and a 6x capacity ramp. The AMD talk is unconfirmed X chatter. I'm long, here's how I see it.
Senator Dave McCormick bought Goldman Sachs (GS) twice. Here is what he paid, and where it sits now.
Senator Dave McCormick (R-PA) disclosed two Goldman Sachs (GS) buys in late May and early June. Here is what he paid on each date versus now, and why his Goldman trades draw extra scrutiny.
S&P Global's CEO bought $1 million of SPGI stock, and it's already underwater
S&P Global CEO Martina Cheung put about $1 million of her own money into SPGI stock at around $430 the day after a strong quarter. Two months later it trades near $408, so the buy is already underwater. Here is what she bought, what an insider purchase signals, and the company's 53-year dividend streak.
Nokia ($NOK) had a rough week, and I'm still holding
Nokia got smoked in June after a 170% run. The Nvidia deal, the BlackBerry mix-up, the chart, and why I'm still holding $NOK into July earnings.
Michael Burry made a multi-year bet Microsoft (MSFT) will rise and sold part of his bet against Palantir (PLTR)
The investor famous for betting against markets just made a rare, multi-year bet that Microsoft (MSFT) will rise, using December 2028 LEAP calls, and sold part of his bet against Palantir (PLTR). MSFT is up this morning.
Nancy Pelosi's latest disclosure: Intel and Uber, then and now
Nancy Pelosi's household disclosed new call options on Intel and Uber. What the filing says, what the strike and dates mean, and how both stocks have moved since.