Columns
Portfolio Watch and personal columns from AIStockWire writers, with positions disclosed.
Ray Dalio warns the AI bubble is nearing a breaking point. Our data shows a mixed picture.
Insider selling shows up in our index, mostly at Nvidia. Borrowing costs don't yet, and valuations are the coolest reading of the seven.
Big pension funds are trimming US stocks over AI concentration. Your index fund can't
Three major retirement funds now allocate less to US stocks than their benchmarks. Passive investors don't get that choice.
The memory shortage is making electronics more expensive. AI users aren't the only ones paying.
Nvidia's seven-year-old streaming box just got $100 more expensive. The memory makers behind the price hikes are earning record profits, and their stocks still trade at low multiples.
Software has beaten chips in the AI trade since June. I think earnings could send buyers back to chips.
Goldman's own strategists expect the thing that carried earnings this year to fade. One of its specialists is still watching the chips anyway.
AI leads the reasons for announced job cuts this year. McKinsey still projects net job growth by 2035
The net number looks positive. The trouble is who has to move, and only about one in seven has an easy path.
Broadcom (AVGO) would help finance Anthropic's computing bill. Who bears the risk?
The chip designer is also offering to help pay for computing built on its chips. Michael Burry's 1960s leasing warning was about Nvidia, but I think it fits here too.
Nvidia (NVDA) wants its chips to back $500 billion in AI loans. Lenders want bigger guarantees.
Banks and credit investors want stronger guarantees before backing Nvidia's $500 billion chip-backed financing plan, Reuters reported. The sticking point is how many years an AI chip keeps earning money.
Google (GOOGL) wins dismissal of AI Overviews suits. The judge found no bargain between Google and publishers
Judge Mehta described a choice every website makes with Google's crawler, including mine. He also said who should deal with what antitrust law can't.
Facebook capped our link posts. Meta's $499 plan unlocks unlimited links, but will it be enough to pay for the AI bill?
Facebook now limits our Page to two link posts a month unless we pay. I ran the numbers on how much Meta One could put toward Meta's AI budget.
The 10-year yield closes at a 24-year high despite softer inflation. AI borrowing adds to the pressure
Treasury's own data puts the 10-year above its 2007 peak. A Macquarie strategist says bond issuance matters more this year than inflation.
Trump calls the AI safety accord "morally binding." Who can stop a model's release when something goes wrong?
Six AI leaders signed a voluntary safety accord that calls for outside audits. It doesn't say who can act when an auditor finds a problem.
Nvidia (NVDA) wants insurers to cover part of its chip-backed AI loans. The terms would show what used AI chips are worth.
Nvidia is in early talks to have insurers cover part of the loans backed by its chips. The terms could show what lenders think a used AI chip is worth.
Junk bonds are headed for their worst month since 2022. Here's what I'm watching in AI debt
Junk-bond ETFs lost more than 2% in September through Sept. 28, putting them on pace for their worst month since 2022. How much of that is rising rates, and which AI borrowers would feel real credit stress first?
Anthropic called for an AI slowdown, then released two models in six days. What would it actually hold back?
Anthropic released two models in six days after Dario Amodei called for pacing AI progress. Anthropic says neither raises its capability ceiling, so what does pacing actually hold back?
AI stock battle week 10: Grok retakes the lead on the last day as five AIs gain (September 26, 2026)
Grok retook first place from DeepSeek on Friday as five of the six AI-run portfolios gained. Claude sold UiPath the same day Meta AI bought it, at the same price.
Nvidia (NVDA) backs the AI labs and is buying the company OpenAI's agents hacked. Now the lock is for sale
Nvidia launched tools to contain rogue AI agents and says they could have stopped the Hugging Face hack by OpenAI's agents. Nvidia's ties to both companies complicate the pitch.
AI data center jobs can pay over $100,000 without a four-year degree
Journeyman electricians in northern Virginia's data center cluster earn about $59.50 an hour, and many trades start with paid apprenticeships instead of a degree. Permit fights in Texas and New York could slow the hiring.
OpenAI's agents posted ChatGPT users' images online. When were the people affected told?
OpenAI says its research agents posted ChatGPT users' images online in 53 instances, and the company told TechCrunch there's no way to notify those users. A dated timeline shows how long these incidents took to come out.
A Fed president asks if AI is becoming "too big to fail." I wouldn't take that as reassurance
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid asked Friday whether AI is becoming "too big to fail." With a paper presented at Brookings modeling a buildout bigger than the railroad boom relative to the economy, I wouldn't take that as reassurance.
Michael Burry says Big Tech is understating AI's costs. It's the write-off risk I'm watching.
Michael Burry says the biggest cloud companies are understating what their AI chips cost, by about $176 billion through 2028. It is the write-off risk I flagged earlier this week, from a different angle.
Three dot-com warning signs are back for AI. I'm watching for a fourth.
Chip and memory prices are climbing, bond buyers want wider spreads on AI debt, and the Fed is raising rates. Those are three warning signs from 2000. Here's the one I'm still waiting for.
An OpenAI agent broke into an Australian Medicare portal, PM says. The government learned months later.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese says an OpenAI agent gained unauthorized access to a Medicare statistics portal in June and reached non-public files. He said OpenAI took about three months to tell the government, and a taskforce is now investigating.
Traders bet Meta's Muse will hurt Schwab (SCHW). Muse's own calls needed humans
Traders bet Meta's Muse AI agent will hurt Schwab, which fell 6.1% on Tuesday. The same day, Reuters reported that Meta had tested human call-center workers to handle some Muse requests.
Claude stock trades week 11: it bought Grab (GRAB) because the CEO did
Claude's most recent trade is Grab, bought this morning after the CEO spent nearly $30 million of his own money on the stock. It now holds two stocks at once for the first time, and it is still down 26%.