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Michael Burry's picks: the Micron (MU) bet is up 17%. He has been averaging down on Lululemon (LULU) since 2025.

Michael Burry's picks: the Micron (MU) bet is up 17%. He has been averaging down on Lululemon (LULU) since 2025.

Key points

  • Burry placed a bet against Micron (MU) on July 2 with the stock at $1,052. It traded near $868 on July 27, about 17% lower.
  • He has averaged down on Lululemon (LULU) since 2025, doubling to 100,000 shares in that year's third quarter. It is off about 44% this year.
  • He deregistered Scion, so the 13F filings stopped. His trades now appear first on a newsletter with 300,000 subscribers.
  • He posted "Sell" in January 2023, then "I was wrong to say sell" two months later.

Michael Burry stopped filing 13F reports. That single change is why most of what gets written about his portfolio is already out of date by the time you read it, and it is why I spent the past few weeks reading his newsletter instead of waiting on EDGAR.

Here is what happened. A 13F is the quarterly form large investors file listing their US stockholdings. For years it was the only real window into what Burry owned. Then he deregistered Scion Asset Management, and the filings stopped. No more forms, no more window.

What replaced it is a newsletter called Cassandra Unchained, named for the Trojan priestess who could see the future and was never believed. He crossed 300,000 subscribers on July 12. Every week or so he publishes what he calls a Trading Post, describing what he bought and sold. A 13F arrives up to 45 days after the quarter ends. These arrive in days. That is a better deal for a reader, with one catch I will come back to.

Putting them all in one place makes a point the reputation tends to flatten, which is that he is not always right. One of these is working very well right now. Another has been going against him for more than a year, and he keeps buying it.

What he owns right now

Everything below comes from a dated post of his own, priced at 11:49 a.m. ET on July 27, 2026.

CompanyThe betWhat he didWhere it stands
Micron (MU)Pays off if it fallsOpened July 2 at $1,052$868.38, moving his way
Oracle (ORCL)Options, pays off if it falls, runs to January 2027Sold half on July 17$119.52, after closing at $114.99 on July 24
Nvidia (NVDA)Options, pays off if it falls, runs to December 2026Bought more July 17$196.64, down 4.93% on the day
Palantir (PLTR)Options, pays off if it fallsDisclosed June 26$129.54, up 5.39% on the day
Lululemon (LULU)Owns the sharesAveraging down since 2025, latest buys in the low to mid $110s$117.51, down about 44% this year
DraftKings (DKNG)Owns the sharesAveraging down, bought more near $25 on July 17$24.44, down about 31% this year
Tesla (TSLA), Caterpillar (CAT)Pay off if they fallDisclosed June 30$307.90 and $845.20

Read down that table and a shape appears. He owns two struggling consumer companies outright. Everything else is a bet that something expensive gets cheaper. His July 23 post sending readers to a Bank for International Settlements report on how AI deals get financed argues the same thing in longer form.

Micron is the one working best. He placed that bet near the highs in early July and the stock has since given back about a sixth of its value. We wrote it up the day he disclosed it. It moved further his way on July 27, when ChangXin Memory's Shanghai listing raised fresh questions about who will be making memory chips in 2027.

Oracle is the one I find more interesting, because he sold the wrong half. On July 17 he cashed in half of an options bet against the company, on a day Oracle touched what was then its lowest price in a year, roughly 63% below its peak. Reasonable enough. Then Oracle kept falling, all the way to $114.99 by July 24. The half he kept earned more than the half he sold. He also had to publicly correct reports that he had exited the whole thing, which tells you how closely people are reading him.

Palantir has not cooperated at all. It was one of his two big bets against AI companies, alongside Nvidia, and it rose more than 5% on July 27 by itself.

Now the part people skip

This ground has been covered to death elsewhere, so here it is in one table rather than another retelling.

WhenThe callWhat followed
Sept 2019Index fund money is distorting prices, to BloombergIndex funds kept climbing for years
Mar 2021Bitcoin compared to the housing market, later the biggest bubble in historyNo collapse on that schedule
Jan 31, 2023One word, SellI was wrong to say sell, March 30. Revisited December 2025: Meme corrected

What interests me more is the one still running, and it starts earlier than most write-ups let on. Lululemon was already his second largest disclosed holding in the third quarter of 2025, when he doubled it from 50,000 shares to 100,000 and it came to roughly 26% of the portfolio. The stock had fallen about 58% over the course of that year before he doubled. It has dropped another 44% or so in 2026, from around $210 in January to $117.51 on July 27, and he has carried on buying in the low to mid $110s.

The word for that is averaging down. You buy more as the price falls, which pulls your average cost lower and pushes your exposure higher at the same time. He is doing it with DraftKings too, down about 31% this year, where he bought more near $25 on July 17. The June 24 essay defending the Lululemon purchase is worth your time, mostly for how irritated he sounds about the people running the company. His case is that the brand outlasts them, and he calls it a patience trade. New chief executive Heidi O'Neill genuinely has not been there long enough to move any of the numbers. Patience is also the word everyone reaches for when a purchase has not worked.

The gap a newsletter leaves

None of this carries the obligations of a filing. He picks what goes in and when, most of it sits behind a paywall, and he never has to say how large any of these bets are next to the rest of his money. That last gap is the one I notice. A headline about him betting against Nvidia could be describing a serious commitment or a rounding error, and there is no way to tell from outside. The 13F was months stale by the time anyone read it, and it had a size column.

The dated thing I am watching now is Micron. Three weeks in and it has moved a long way his direction. He took his profit on Oracle after a comparable run, and then the stock kept falling without him. If he does the same thing here, we will know within days rather than at the end of a quarter, which is the one clear improvement in all of this.

Longer versions of that distinction: what a 13F does and does not show, and whether copying famous investors actually works.

Sources

  • Position disclosures and dates from Michael Burry's newsletter, Cassandra Unchained, June 16 through July 25, 2026, as tracked in our own archive of his posts
  • MU, ORCL, NVDA, PLTR, LULU, DKNG, TSLA and CAT prices at 11:49 a.m. ET on July 27, 2026, and settled July 24 closes, via Robinhood market data
  • Index fund comments: Bloomberg, September 2019
  • Sell call and retraction: Burry's posts of January 31, 2023 and March 30, 2023, revisited December 2025
  • Related coverage: the Micron bet, the Oracle sale, and the Microsoft and Palantir positions

This article is for information only and is not investment advice. Markets can go down as well as up, and you can lose money. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.

Frequently asked questions

What are Michael Burry's picks right now?

Two companies he has disclosed buying outright are Lululemon (LULU) and DraftKings (DKNG), and he has been averaging down on both. The rest of his disclosed activity is bets that expensive companies get cheaper: Micron (MU), Nvidia (NVDA), Palantir (PLTR), Oracle (ORCL), Tesla (TSLA) and Caterpillar (CAT). On the morning of July 27, 2026 the Micron bet was working and the Lululemon purchase was not.

Is Michael Burry always right?

No, and his own record says so. He told Bloomberg in September 2019 that money pouring into index funds was distorting prices, and index funds went on to climb for years. He warned in 2021 that bitcoin and the wider market faced a historic collapse that did not arrive on his timeline. He posted the single word Sell on January 31, 2023, then I was wrong to say sell on March 30, 2023, and revisited it in December 2025 with the note Meme corrected. His current Lululemon purchase has also gone against him for more than a year.

How much money has Michael Burry lost on Lululemon (LULU)?

The exact figure is not public, but the direction is. Lululemon was already his second largest disclosed holding in the third quarter of 2025, when he doubled it from 50,000 shares to about 100,000, roughly 26% of that portfolio. The stock had fallen about 58% during 2025 before he doubled. It has dropped roughly another 44% in 2026, from around $210 in January to $117.51 on July 27, and he has kept buying in the low to mid $110s.

What does averaging down mean?

Buying more of something you already own as its price falls. It lowers the average price you paid per share and raises the total amount of money you have at risk in that one company. Michael Burry has been doing this with Lululemon (LULU) since 2025 and with DraftKings (DKNG), which was down about 31% across 2026 when he bought more near $25 on July 17.

What is Michael Burry betting against right now?

Micron (MU) is his largest disclosed bet against a company. He placed it on July 2, 2026 with the stock at $1,052, and Micron traded near $868.38 at 11:49 a.m. ET on July 27, roughly 17% lower. He also holds options bets that pay off if Nvidia (NVDA), Palantir (PLTR) and Oracle (ORCL) fall, plus further bets against Tesla (TSLA) and Caterpillar (CAT).

Does Michael Burry still file 13F reports?

No. He deregistered Scion Asset Management, which ended the quarterly 13F filings that were for years the main public record of his holdings. His trades now appear first on his newsletter, Cassandra Unchained, which passed 300,000 subscribers on July 12, 2026. That is a self-reported account published at his discretion, much of it behind a paywall, rather than a form filed with a regulator.

Why did Michael Burry sell half of his Oracle (ORCL) position?

He sold half of an options bet against Oracle on July 17, 2026, the day the stock touched what was then its lowest price in a year, about 63% below its peak, and he kept the other half. He then publicly corrected reports saying he had exited the whole thing. Oracle continued falling after he sold, closing at $114.99 on July 24, so the half he kept earned more than the half he sold.

Should you copy Michael Burry's trades?

That is a personal decision and nothing here is advice, but a few limits are worth knowing. His disclosures are now self-published rather than filed with a regulator, so nobody verifies the size or the timing. He does not say how large any position is next to the rest of his money, which means a headline about a bet against Nvidia could describe a major commitment or a small one. His record also shows he identifies fragile situations well before the market resolves them, and sometimes the market never resolves them his way at all.

More on MU and NVDA

Jennifer Song
Jennifer Song

Jennifer Song writes Portfolio Watch. She studied finance and likes digging through public filings to see what politicians and other well-known people are buying and selling. She doesn't trade herself. She just likes seeing where the big names put their money.