
Kratos (KTOS), AeroVironment (AVAV) and Ondas (ONDS) jumped at least 16% in two weeks. All three are still down this year.
Lockheed Martin, Palantir and Kratos all beat estimates and raised guidance inside twelve days, and every drone maker we track gained at least 16% over the two weeks. Kratos and AeroVironment are still the worst performers in the group for 2026.

A drone motor costs $12 from China and $100 from America. The Pentagon just committed $820 million to close the gap.
The Pentagon committed $1.3 billion to drones last week and none of it reached the stocks that rallied. The $820 million loan went to privately held Performance Drone Works, and it was for motors, batteries and control electronics rather than aircraft. The majority of drones on the Pentagon's own approved list still run Chinese motors, because a Chinese one costs $12 and an American one costs $100.

All seven Magnificent Seven stocks fell today. Here's where that money actually went (July 23, 2026)
All seven Magnificent Seven stocks were red by late morning Thursday, led by Tesla's 14% drop on an earnings miss and Alphabet's close-to-7% slide despite beating estimates, on another capex raise. Amazon and Meta sold off too ahead of next week's reports. The money didn't just leave, it rotated: into defense on Lockheed's earnings beat, and out of quantum, SaaS and space.

Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are falling hard. The rest of the AI trade isn't (July 23, 2026)
Tesla and Alphabet kept falling through Thursday morning even as chipmakers, neoclouds and photonics stocks held up fine. Oil topped $100 a barrel after Trump threatened to bomb Iranian infrastructure over any new attack on shipping.

The House passed a $1.15 trillion defense bill. I think Lockheed Martin (LMT) is due for a bounce, and tomorrow's earnings are the real test.
The House passed a $1.15 trillion defense authorization bill Wednesday and defense stocks rallied, but not evenly. Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman are still down 25% to 30% from their 2026 highs, RTX and General Dynamics already recovered, and Lockheed reports earnings Thursday morning.

IBM already sank 20%. This week's earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and four more decide if AI spending is real
IBM already sank 20% on a warning. Now Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and four more of our tracked stocks report earnings within 48 hours, the clearest test yet of whether AI spending is paying off.

Kimi AI stopped taking new signups days after launch as GPU demand maxed out. Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA) and Intel (INTC) report into a chip bear market (week of July 20, 2026)
Moonshot paused new Kimi subscriptions three days after K3 launched because its GPUs hit capacity, which was our whole argument for chip stocks. This week: Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and Nokia earnings, $88 oil, and a Kospi reopen.

Ondas (ONDS): 214 million shares of volume, 32% short interest, and a stock that still closed red
Ondas (ONDS) traded about 214 million shares today, more than double its two week average, yet the stock still closed down. Here's what the volume, the DZYNE share unlock, and the 32% short interest actually add up to.

Did Ondas (ONDS) just win a NASA contract? What the new filing actually says
A NASA filing on July 2 named Ondas's (ONDS) World View unit alongside SpaceX and Blue Origin. Here is what it actually is, and why it is not the NASA contract win some are calling it.

Ondas (ONDS) CEO reportedly touts a $20 billion market cap goal. The stock says $4 billion
An investor who was on a group Zoom call with Ondas CEO Eric Brock says Brock told participants the company will reach a $20 billion market cap and not stop there. Ondas is worth about $4.15 billion today. Here is the math, what is real behind the ambition, and the dilution catch.

AeroVironment (AVAV) reports earnings tonight, and drone stocks Red Cat (RCAT) and Ondas (ONDS) rally with it
AeroVironment (AVAV) reports earnings after Monday's close, and the small-cap drone group is rallying with it, led by Red Cat (RCAT) up about 8%, with Ondas (ONDS) and Draganfly (DPRO) higher.

Iran attacked again this weekend. Here's what to expect at Monday's open.
It is Sunday night and Iran is back in the headlines after the US and Iran traded strikes over the weekend. Here is where the market stands, the base case for Monday's open, and the one thing that would turn a routine dip into a real drop.

Ondas (ONDS): a Lockheed Martin (LMT) deal, 10x revenue, and a stock cut in half
Ondas (ONDS) has a Lockheed Martin (LMT) counter-drone deal, a $457 million backlog and revenue up tenfold. It also has 508 million shares, heavy short interest, insider selling, and a Cramer meme-stock label. Both stories are true.