AI stock battle week 6: all six AIs were green on Thursday, then Friday knocked two below $10,000 (August 29, 2026)

Six robots labeled Claude, Gemini, ChatGPT, Grok, DeepSeek and Meta AI, with the headline AI stock battle week 6

Key points

  • All six AIs were above their $10,000 stake at Thursday's close. Friday's selloff left Claude and Meta AI ending the week below it, the contest's first negative scoreboard.
  • DeepSeek leads at $11,659.70. Grok had the worst week at -8.69% and lost second place to Gemini.
  • Claude made no trades. Three of its five holdings report earnings next week.

One Friday afternoon rewrote this entire week. All six AIs went into Thursday's close above the $10,000 they started with, and then Fed chair Kevin Warsh gave his first Jackson Hole speech, the AI trade got sold, and by the 8 p.m. settle, Claude and Meta AI had ended a week under their stake, something no model had done through the first 5 weeks.

If you're new here, six models each run a paper $10,000 in AI-related stocks that were worth under $10 billion when they bought them. The six are Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, and Meta AI. One decision each Saturday, and the score is the account value, so a loss stays on the record whether or not the position does. The full rules are here.

ModelAccount valueTotal returnThis week
DeepSeek$11,659.70+16.60%-4.79%
Gemini$10,834.15+8.34%-4.22%
Grok$10,752.09+7.52%-8.69%
ChatGPT$10,106.09+1.06%-7.45%
Claude$9,853.38-1.47%-4.08%
Meta AI$9,658.50-3.41%-4.30%

Values at the August 28, 2026 settle, the last trade before the market shut at 8 pm Friday Eastern.

That's two losing weeks in a row for the whole field. The one number moving the right direction: the gap between first and last shrank from 21.55 points to 20.01. Everybody's falling, so nobody's getting away.

Thursday looked completely different

Here's what I would've missed if I only checked the Saturday number.

ModelAug 26Aug 27Aug 28
DeepSeek$11,539.35$11,974.52$11,633.02
Gemini$10,703.69$11,107.87$10,784.91
Grok$10,857.46$11,172.51$10,750.48
ChatGPT$10,110.74$10,426.40$10,102.96
Claude$9,998.84$10,262.48$9,847.00
Meta AI$9,596.33$10,012.15$9,672.25

Account values at the regular-session close on each date. Every model was above $10,000 on August 27.

Both of them had been under $10,000 during the week already. Meta AI first slipped below at a daily close back on August 20, and this week both spent Monday through Wednesday under the line before Thursday pulled everyone back over it. The difference is that a dip during the week never made the scoreboard, because the scoreboard only prints on Saturdays. Then Friday took between 2.85% and 4.05% out of every account in the room, and this time there was no session left to fix it.

One speech did most of this

Friday was Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair, and he spent it talking about prices. "Inflation is running above our 2 percent target," he said. "So the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices." The other half of the mandate didn't worry him much: "I believe the labor markets are consistent with full employment."

Traders heard a Fed that's likelier to raise than cut in September. The contest damage lined up. Argan lost 15.62% on the week on zero company news, including a 9.18% drop in Friday's session. Aehr Test Systems fell 20.17%, its second straight week down about a fifth. Only three of the contest's 18 names finished higher, led by UiPath (PATH) at +11.87%.

Claude did nothing, on purpose

No sells. No buys. Fifth place, under water, and it didn't touch the book.

Nothing in it broke, for one. When 15 of 18 stocks fall together, that's the market selling a certain shape of company, not a verdict on any one of them. The bigger reason is the calendar. Argan (AGX) reports Wednesday after the close, then Ambarella (AMBA) and UiPath both go Thursday, which puts three of Claude's five positions inside three trading days. Argan has beaten estimates in all seven quarters Robinhood shows, most recently $3.24 against $2.27, and dumping it at a 26% loss 72 hours before its own report is the exact churn this contest keeps punishing.

And UiPath was the one thing that worked. We added it last week as the deliberate odd one out, the only holding paid from a software budget instead of somebody's capital spending. Best performer of all 18 contest stocks this week. You don't sell the diversification in the week it finally does its job. The risks haven't moved either: Kulicke and Soffa plus Rambus is still 42.9% of the account riding on memory.

Two models sold what they had just bought

Gemini, Grok and DeepSeek held everything. Grok and DeepSeek are now at six full weeks without a single trade, Gemini hasn't traded since week 2, and that leaves ChatGPT and Meta AI, who both did a version of the same thing.

ChatGPT sold a stock it had owned for seven days

ChatGPT sold Serve Robotics (SERV) at $4.99 for a 0.60% loss and put all of it into Applied Digital (APLD) at $25.52, a $7.39 billion data center operator. It bought Serve last Saturday at $5.02, and it's now cut a one-week-old position two weeks running, after POET in week 5.

The reason it gave is the part worth rereading. It pointed to Serve's revenue guidance cut and the end of the Uber Eats relationship, and both of those were public two weeks before it bought the stock citing the new DoorDash and Grubhub partnerships. Same stock, same news, opposite conclusions, seven days apart. One flag on the buy: Applied Digital is the exact corner of the market that just got sold hardest, and Gemini has held it since week 2 and is down 5.90% on it.

Meta AI bought back two stocks it had already sold

Meta AI sold Upstart (UPST) at $29.03 and Innodata (INOD) at $56.60, then split the money evenly into Penguin Solutions (PENG) at $49.30 and BigBear.ai (BBAI) at $3.06. Innodata was its own one-week hold, down 12.07%, the second time Meta AI has owned it and lost money on it.

The buys are the half I keep thinking about, because both are names Meta AI used to own. It sold Penguin last week at $52.40 and gets it back 5.9% cheaper. Fine. But it sold BigBear.ai back in week 2 at $2.74 and is now paying $3.06 to get it back. Nobody's cheating here. These things get handed their current holdings every Saturday and nothing else. No history, no receipts. A stock they dumped a month ago walks in looking like a brand new idea.

One thing hasn't moved since week 1. Five of the six books hold SoundHound, BigBear.ai is now in four, and Claude is still the only model that has never owned either.

Advertisement

Every book after week 6

DeepSeek

TickerEntryValue August 28Since entry
AI$8.15$2,591.51+29.58%
PDYN$4.94$2,336.03+16.80%
SOUN$6.16$2,307.07+15.35%
BBAI$2.77$2,213.38+10.67%
RGTI$14.17$2,211.71+10.59%

Gemini

TickerEntryValue August 28Since entry
AI$9.13$3,620.03+15.66%
OUST$38.08$2,868.51-8.35%
APLD$27.12$1,963.49-5.90%
SOUN$6.08$1,217.70+16.72%
BBAI$2.74$1,164.42+11.61%

Grok

TickerEntryValue August 28Since entry
SOUN$6.16$2,307.07+15.35%
BBAI$2.77$2,213.38+10.67%
AEHR$76.30$2,132.11+6.61%
SERV$4.81$2,074.84+3.74%
INOD$55.91$2,024.68+1.23%

ChatGPT

TickerEntryValue August 28Since entry
SOUN$6.16$2,307.07+15.35%
RGTI$14.17$2,211.71+10.59%
INOD$55.91$2,024.68+1.23%
CAMT$147.85$1,842.41-7.88%
APLD$25.52$1,720.22new this week

Claude

TickerEntryValue August 28Since entry
RMBS$91.48$2,320.00-5.90%
AMBA$68.07$2,081.68+4.08%
PATH$16.26$2,062.03+11.87%
KLIC$89.26$1,912.51-10.25%
AGX$568.93$1,477.16-26.14%

Meta AI

TickerEntryValue August 28Since entry
BAND$47.52$2,067.24+2.42%
SOUN$7.32$1,957.73-3.01%
AMBA$73.73$1,939.55-3.91%
PENG$49.30$1,846.99new this week
BBAI$3.06$1,846.99new this week

Entry prices are what each model actually paid, so two models holding the same ticker usually paid different prices. Claude bought Ambarella at $68.07 in week 1 and Meta AI holds it at $73.73 from week 5, which is why the same company shows a gain in one table and a loss in another.

Every entry price, thesis and swap since week 1 is on the AI stock battle tracker.

What we're watching next week

Four contest holdings report inside two days, and Claude owns three of them. Argan and C3.ai (AI) go Wednesday after the close, Ambarella and UiPath on Thursday. C3.ai is the one that decides the top of the table, since it's DeepSeek's biggest position at 22.2% of the account and Gemini's biggest at 33.4%, so the leader and the runner-up are long the same report. And Grok and DeepSeek have now sat through six weeks without a single trade, which reads differently now that Grok has handed back most of its gains without touching anything. Three models are deciding by not deciding.

Sources

  • Kevin Warsh's remarks at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, August 28, 2026, from the speech text published by the Federal Reserve
  • Argan second quarter fiscal 2027 earnings scheduled for September 2, 2026 after the close; C3.ai September 2; Ambarella and UiPath September 3, all four confirmed in Robinhood's earnings calendar
  • Argan's earnings history, seven of seven quarters above consensus, and the $2.67 second-quarter estimate, from Robinhood market data
  • Serve Robotics second quarter results and full-year revenue guidance cut from $26 million to $9 million to $10 million, reported August 6, 2026; Uber's disclosure that it sold its remaining Serve Robotics stake, reported August 7, 2026, both via Benzinga
  • Each model's week 6 answer exactly as submitted, and every entry, exit and repurchase checked against the contest's own position ledger
  • Prices, market caps and 30-day average volumes from Robinhood market data, taken at the last trade before the August 28, 2026 8 pm Eastern shutdown
  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing moves for August 28, 2026 from Trading Economics

Disclaimer: This contest is for entertainment and information only and is not investment advice. The picks are AI chatbot outputs rather than analyst research and nobody should buy or sell anything because a chatbot said so. I may hold positions in some of the stocks mentioned.

Advertisement

Frequently asked questions

Who is winning the AI stock battle after week 6?

DeepSeek, with an account value of $11,659.70, up 16.60% from the $10,000 start, measured at the August 28, 2026 settle. Gemini is second at $10,834.15 after passing Grok on Friday alone, Grok third at $10,752.09, ChatGPT fourth at $10,106.09, then Claude at $9,853.38 and Meta AI at $9,658.50. Week 6 was the second straight week in which all six models lost value, and the first in which any model finished a week below the $10,000 it started with. Two did.

Which AI models are losing money in the stock battle?

Claude and Meta AI, as of the August 28, 2026 settle. Claude is at $9,853.38, down 1.47% from its $10,000 stake, and Meta AI is at $9,658.50, down 3.41%. Both were above $10,000 at the close on Thursday August 27, when all six models were still green, and both fell below the line during Friday's session. The other four are still ahead: DeepSeek at $11,659.70, Gemini at $10,834.15, Grok at $10,752.09 and ChatGPT at $10,106.09.

Why did AI stocks fall on Friday August 28, 2026?

Fed chair Kevin Warsh gave his first Jackson Hole speech that morning and framed inflation as the central bank's main problem, saying inflation is running above the 2 percent target and that the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices, while describing the labor market as consistent with full employment. Traders read that as raising the odds of a September rate increase, and the AI hardware trade was sold through the afternoon. The S&P 500 closed down 0.2% and the Nasdaq down 0.7%, but the damage underneath was heavier: Nvidia (NVDA) fell 4.58% and Marvell (MRVL) fell 10.29% on the same day it beat estimates and raised guidance. Every account in the AI stock battle lost between 2.85% and 4.05% that session.

What did Claude do in week 6 of the AI stock battle?

Nothing. Claude held all five positions, Argan (AGX), Rambus (RMBS), Ambarella (AMBA), Kulicke and Soffa (KLIC) and UiPath (PATH), and made no trades, its second no-trade week of the contest. The stated reasoning was that no holding had company-specific bad news, that 15 of the 18 stocks held across the six books fell on the week so the loss was factor-wide, and that three of the five positions report earnings within three trading days of the rebalance. Claude also had the smallest weekly loss of the six models at 4.08%, one week after having the largest at 15.05%.

Why did Argan (AGX) stock fall in the week of August 24, 2026?

Argan fell 15.62% between the August 21 and August 28, 2026 settles, from $498.00 to $420.20, including a 9.18% drop in Friday's regular session. There was no company announcement behind it. The fall came in a broad selloff in AI infrastructure and data center names after Fed chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, and it landed a few days before Argan's own second quarter report, scheduled for after the close on September 2, 2026. Argan has beaten consensus EPS in all seven quarters shown in Robinhood's data, most recently $3.24 against $2.27 expected, and analysts are looking for $2.67 against $2.50 in the year-ago quarter. Argan is Claude's holding in the AI stock battle and was down 26.14% since its week 1 entry at the August 28 settle.

Which AI stock battle stocks report earnings the week of August 31, 2026?

Four, and Claude owns three of them. Argan (AGX) and C3.ai (AI) both report after the close on Wednesday September 2, 2026, then Ambarella (AMBA) and UiPath (PATH) after the close on Thursday September 3. Argan, Ambarella and UiPath are all Claude holdings, which is three of its five positions inside two days. C3.ai matters most to the standings, since it is DeepSeek's largest position at 22.2% of that account and Gemini's largest at 33.4%, so the contest leader and the runner-up are both exposed to the same report.

Was any stock up in the AI stock battle during week 6?

Three of the 18 stocks held across the six portfolios rose between the August 21 and August 28, 2026 settles. UiPath (PATH) gained 11.87%, and C3.ai (AI) and Bandwidth (BAND) each gained 2.42%. The other 15 fell, led by Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) at 20.17%, Argan (AGX) at 15.62%, Rigetti (RGTI) at 12.31% and Innodata (INOD) at 12.07%. UiPath was the position Claude added in week 5 specifically because its revenue comes out of enterprise software budgets rather than data center capital spending, and it was the best performing stock in the contest in its first full week.

What did ChatGPT and Meta AI do in week 6 of the AI stock battle?

They were the only two models that traded, and both sold a position they had bought seven days earlier. ChatGPT sold Serve Robotics (SERV) at $4.99 for a 0.60% loss and put all of the proceeds into Applied Digital (APLD) at $25.52, a $7.39 billion AI data center operator, at 17.0% of its account. That is the second week running ChatGPT has cut a one-week-old position, after selling POET Technologies at a 13.33% loss in week 5. Meta AI sold Upstart (UPST) at $29.03 and Innodata (INOD) at $56.60, splitting the proceeds evenly into Penguin Solutions (PENG) at $49.30 and BigBear.ai (BBAI) at $3.06, each at 19.1% of its account. Innodata was also a one-week hold, bought in week 5 at $64.37. Gemini, Grok and DeepSeek all held all five positions and made no trades.

Why did ChatGPT sell Serve Robotics (SERV) after one week?

ChatGPT cited Serve Robotics's revenue guidance cut and the end of its Uber Eats relationship. Both were public before ChatGPT bought the stock. Serve cut full-year 2026 revenue guidance from $26 million to a range of $9 million to $10 million on August 6, 2026, citing lower than expected delivery volume through Uber Eats, and Uber disclosed on August 7 that it had sold its entire remaining stake in the company. ChatGPT bought Serve Robotics on August 22, two weeks after both events, and the reason it gave then was Serve's new DoorDash and Grubhub partnerships. It sold on August 29 for a 0.60% loss at $4.99, against a $5.02 entry.

Can an AI model buy back a stock it already sold in the stock battle?

Yes, and Meta AI did it twice in week 6. It sold Penguin Solutions (PENG) in week 5 at $52.40 after an 18.56% loss and bought it back at $49.30, about 5.9% cheaper. It sold BigBear.ai (BBAI) in week 2 at $2.74 and bought it back at $3.06, about 11.6% more than it sold for. The models are given only their current holdings each Saturday, with no record of what they used to own, so a name dropped weeks earlier is presented to them as a fresh idea. The realized gains and losses from the earlier lots stay in the account value either way.

Which stocks do the most AI models own in the stock battle?

After the week 6 rebalance, SoundHound (SOUN) is held by five of the six models, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and Meta AI, and BigBear.ai (BBAI) is held by four, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and Meta AI. Claude is the only model that has never owned either, which has been true since week 1. C3.ai (AI), Rigetti (RGTI), Innodata (INOD), Applied Digital (APLD) and Ambarella (AMBA) are each held by two models. There are 18 distinct tickers across the six five-stock books, so the field is far more clustered than 30 positions would suggest.

More on AGX and PATH

David Han
David Han

David Han is the founder of AIStockWire, where he covers AI, semiconductors, and technology stocks. He focuses on finding stories the market hasn’t fully connected yet, drawing on filings, insider activity, earnings, and industry data. His commentary has been quoted by U.S. News & World Report, Moneywise, and Yahoo Finance. He invests in the companies he writes about and discloses his positions. Nothing he publishes is investment advice.