Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) news and analysis
AMD gave Meta and OpenAI warrants on 320 million shares at a penny. They're now worth about $152 billion.
AMD issued Meta and OpenAI warrants on 160 million shares apiece at an exercise price of $0.01, vesting on 6 GW of Instinct shipments and a $600 share price. At Friday's close the pair is worth about $152 billion against $3.2 million to exercise. AMD's Q1 10-Q says none of it has vested or touched the financial statements yet.
The options market expects AMD to move $46 after earnings Tuesday. Its last two earnings reports moved even more.
AMD reports second quarter results Tuesday after the close. Analysts expect $1.61 a share on $11.31 billion, and the Aug. 5 straddle prices a 9.7% move. The last two reports moved the stock 17.3% and 18.6%. In February AMD beat on both lines and fell anyway, on guidance.
Citadel bought Leopold Aschenbrenner's stock book. Two outlets say he kept part of it, and a filing due Monday settles it.
Bloomberg and Reuters both name Ken Griffin's Citadel as the buyer of Situational Awareness's stock book, and both say bulk, not all. CNBC said the entire public book went in one block to one buyer. A Form 4 on the SharonAI (SHAZ) stake is due Aug. 3, an initial 13D or 13G from Citadel on Aug. 6, and the fund's own quarterly report on Aug. 14.
Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI fund sold its levered stock book, longs and shorts, to a single buyer. It was levered as much as four times.
CNBC's David Faber reported that Situational Awareness sold its entire public equities book, longs and shorts together, to a single buyer. The fund reached $24 billion near its highs and ran leverage of as much as four times. Its last public filing shows 62% of a $13.68 billion book was bets against chip stocks, and the stocks it owned outright fell twice as far.
Michael Burry posted three charts making the AI bear case. Two of them show the selling already happened.
Burry shared three Bloomberg charts on the AI trade. One maps the circular deals around Nvidia (NVDA). The other two show big tech forward multiples back at or below their 10-year averages, with Apple (AAPL) the lone expensive name and the only megacap missing from the circular map.
Korea's Kospi fell 10.84% and halted trading. Nvidia (NVDA) is flat and Micron (MU) is down 10% (July 28, 2026)
Korea's Kospi closed at 6,023.66 on Tuesday, down 10.84%, its fourth largest one-day fall on record, after Korea Exchange stopped all trading for 20 minutes. Samsung and SK Hynix each lost more than 13%. The US carryover went into memory and storage, with Sandisk (SNDK) down 14.52% and Micron (MU) down 9.54%, while Nvidia (NVDA) held flat and the Dow rose.
I let Claude AI trade $100 on Robinhood, week 6: It swapped CleanSpark (CLSK) for D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) and quit 23 minutes later
Claude AI's CleanSpark (CLSK) stop fired Monday for a $2.36 loss and was right, since CLSK fell another 10% after. Then it bought D-Wave (QBTS) at Tuesday's open into a chip crash, sold 23 minutes later for $1.80, and filed a report two minutes after that saying it had not traded.
Anthropic says it never asked to ban open-weight AI. Dario Amodei does want China cut off from Nvidia (NVDA) chips.
Dario Amodei answered the Nvidia-hosted open-weights letter on July 27, three days after Anthropic became the only major AI lab to skip it. He says a ban was never the ask. What he does want is China cut off from US chips, a crackdown on industrial-scale distillation, and mandatory safety testing for every capable model, open or closed.
Nasdaq futures were up over 1% and things looked good. Then chips tanked and took the whole gain with them, led by ASML, Micron (MU) and Nvidia (NVDA) (July 27, 2026)
Futures pointed to a strong open on the Iran ceasefire and a 6.79% drop in oil. QQQ opened up 1.09% and was negative within the hour. Three chip headlines did it, and two of them came out of China: a domestic DUV lithography report that hit ASML, and CXMT's Shanghai debut that hit Micron.
US strikes on Iran paused. Oil fell more than 3%, and Micron (MU) and Nebius (NBIS) rose over the weekend
US Central Command has gone two straight nights without striking Iran, and a Defense Department source told CNN operations are on a hold. Polymarket puts an effective ceasefire at 75% by August 31. US markets were shut all weekend, but the tokenized stock market never closed, and it spent Sunday buying the AI trade and selling oil.
If I had $1,000 for one AI chip stock, I'd buy SK Hynix (SKHY) over Nvidia (NVDA), Micron (MU) and AMD
Nvidia and SK Group signed a $500 billion AI infrastructure deal late Friday night, after both New York and Seoul had closed for the week. Given $1,000 for one of the four AI chip stocks, I'd put it in SK Hynix, which trades at 5.6 times forward earnings even after its 28% ADR premium against 6.4 for Micron.
Nvidia (NVDA) and 34 other companies told Washington not to restrict open-weight AI. OpenAI signed a day late. Anthropic still hasn't.
The Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter asks Washington not to restrict AI models anyone can download. It went from 25 signatures to 35. OpenAI added its name after sitting out the launch, Google's CEO backed it without signing, and Anthropic declined to comment. Update, July 27: the list has since grown to 133 names, and both Google and Amazon signed.
Elon Musk thanked Micron (MU) by name on Tesla's earnings call this week. That's what a real memory shortage looks like.
Musk thanked Micron on Tesla's earnings call, Intel's CEO called memory its biggest supply constraint the next day, SK Hynix's CEO sees a shortage into the next decade, and CXMT is about to IPO into all of it.
Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are falling hard. The rest of the AI trade isn't (July 23, 2026)
Tesla and Alphabet kept falling through Thursday morning even as chipmakers, neoclouds and photonics stocks held up fine. Oil topped $100 a barrel after Trump threatened to bomb Iranian infrastructure over any new attack on shipping.
Super Micro's (SMCI) revenue landed at the low end of guidance. The stock is up 25% anyway (July 22, 2026)
Super Micro Computer's preliminary Q4 update showed more than $60 billion of new orders and gross margin guidance that nearly doubled, but revenue landed at the low end of its own range. The stock is up about 25% anyway.
Nasdaq-100 futures sank close to 1% Wednesday morning. Stocks clawed almost all of it back by mid-morning (July 22, 2026)
Nasdaq-100 futures fell close to 1% Wednesday morning on an Iran oil spike, new tariffs and chip-stock fear. Stocks opened lower too, but climbed steadily through the first half hour of trading and were back to nearly flat by mid-morning.
IBM already sank 20%. This week's earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and four more decide if AI spending is real
IBM already sank 20% on a warning. Now Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and four more of our tracked stocks report earnings within 48 hours, the clearest test yet of whether AI spending is paying off.
Micron (MU), SK Hynix and AMD just gave chip stocks their first back-to-back gain in two weeks (July 21, 2026)
Micron (MU) closed up about 12 percent, SK Hynix's ADR about 14 percent, and AMD 8 percent Tuesday, chip stocks' first back-to-back gain in two weeks. A Bank of America upgrade on memory demand and a new AMD-Microsoft Azure deal did the heavy lifting.
Microsoft (MSFT) is testing Moonshot's Kimi K3 for Copilot to cut its Azure AI bill by $600 million
Microsoft is testing Moonshot's Kimi K3 for Azure and Copilot, hoping to cut AI costs by $600 million, the same week the model's launch gave chip stocks a rough ride and its maker began prepping a $30 billion Hong Kong IPO.
Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT) don't just sell OpenAI chips and cloud time. They also fund the bill.
Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon own pieces of OpenAI while selling it chips and cloud time, and Oracle, Broadcom, AMD, and CoreWeave have billions riding on its contracts. How the money loops, and where it's already showing strain.
I gave five AIs a pretend $10,000 to pick 5 tech stocks. Four bought Nvidia (NVDA). Claude went rogue.
ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Meta AI and Claude each picked five tech stocks to hold for six months. Four bought Nvidia. Claude went the other way. Every pick is here and the scoreboard runs monthly.
China's Xi Jinping just launched a 29-nation AI bloc. That's bullish for US AI stocks (NVDA, PLTR)
Xi Jinping used the 2026 World AI Conference in Shanghai to launch a 29-nation World AI Cooperation Organization and take a shot at US chip export controls. History says Washington answers moves like this with money, and that is bullish for the US AI trade.
Micron slid 6% into Friday's open, then flipped positive within the hour as chip stocks staged a violent rebound (July 17, 2026)
Chip stocks slid overnight and into Friday's open, with Micron down as much as 5.8 percent, then staged one of the sharpest reversals of the week within about an hour.
Kimi K3 just gave Nvidia (NVDA) its second "DeepSeek moment." The first one made chip demand go up, not down.
Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 sent Nvidia and Oracle lower this week, reviving the "cheap AI kills chip demand" argument. History, and the actual spending numbers, say the opposite is true.