
Everyone's asking if AI is the next dot-com bubble. Nvidia and 25 companies just gave a clue.
Nvidia rallied 25 companies behind open AI models, and OpenAI and Anthropic sat it out. Here's why I think their coming IPOs, not this fight, mark the real top of the AI bubble.

Jensen Huang's first-ever post on X was an open-weights AI letter. Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT) both signed it, along with 23 other companies.
Jensen Huang joined X in June and stayed silent for weeks. His first post was a joint industry letter on open AI models, signed by 25 companies including Microsoft. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google and Amazon did not sign.

Verizon (VZ) jumped 2.7% on record profit margins and a subscriber beat. A $1 billion Google deal got buried in the same call.
Verizon's Q2 2026 earnings brought record EBITDA margins, a subscriber beat and a $1 billion-plus dark fiber deal with Google buried in the same call. Shares climbed as much as 2.7% on the earnings, not the deal.

All seven Magnificent Seven stocks fell today. Here's where that money actually went (July 23, 2026)
All seven Magnificent Seven stocks were red by late morning Thursday, led by Tesla's 14% drop on an earnings miss and Alphabet's close-to-7% slide despite beating estimates, on another capex raise. Amazon and Meta sold off too ahead of next week's reports. The money didn't just leave, it rotated: into defense on Lockheed's earnings beat, and out of quantum, SaaS and space.

Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are falling hard. The rest of the AI trade isn't (July 23, 2026)
Tesla and Alphabet kept falling through Thursday morning even as chipmakers, neoclouds and photonics stocks held up fine. Oil topped $100 a barrel after Trump threatened to bomb Iranian infrastructure over any new attack on shipping.

Alphabet (GOOGL) raised AI capex to $205 billion, its third hike this year. Nvidia (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO) barely moved after hours
Alphabet raised its 2026 capex guidance to $195-205 billion during Wednesday's call, its third increase this year, and GOOGL fell as much as 5% in extended trading. But the chip and power stocks that are supposed to benefit from that spending, Nvidia, Broadcom, TSMC, Micron, Vistra and Constellation, barely moved.

Alphabet (GOOGL): cloud growth hits 82%, and its AI spending just doubled
Alphabet's Q2 2026 results answered the question this earnings week was supposed to settle. Google Cloud grew 82%, capital spending on AI infrastructure more than doubled to $44.9 billion for the quarter, and the reported 298% profit jump comes with an asterisk worth reading before you believe it.

IBM earnings are tonight. The stock crashed 25% and the government is betting $1 billion on its quantum future (July 22, 2026)
Down 38 percent in seven weeks, still falling into tonight's call, with a government-backed quantum business nobody is talking about.

GE Vernova (GEV) raised its cash forecast by $5 billion and fell 8% (July 22, 2026)
GE Vernova raised its 2026 revenue and free cash flow forecasts and reported an 88% jump in orders, but earnings missed and the wind unit's losses widened. The stock fell about 8%.

Senator Jerry Moran bought Berkshire Hathaway for the third time since May, then bought back Google 11% below where he'd sold it a month earlier
Sen. Jerry Moran's July 21 disclosure shows he bought Berkshire Hathaway on June 23, his third purchase of the stock since late May, and bought back Alphabet the same day, about 11% below the price he'd sold it at a month earlier. Here's what the filing shows and how both stocks have moved since, hours before Alphabet's own Q2 earnings report.

Nasdaq-100 futures sank close to 1% Wednesday morning. Stocks clawed almost all of it back by mid-morning (July 22, 2026)
Nasdaq-100 futures fell close to 1% Wednesday morning on an Iran oil spike, new tariffs and chip-stock fear. Stocks opened lower too, but climbed steadily through the first half hour of trading and were back to nearly flat by mid-morning.

IBM already sank 20%. This week's earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and four more decide if AI spending is real
IBM already sank 20% on a warning. Now Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and four more of our tracked stocks report earnings within 48 hours, the clearest test yet of whether AI spending is paying off.

Cipher Digital (CIFR) is up 39% in two sessions, and its own AI news hasn't landed yet
Cipher Digital (CIFR) gained 39% in two trading sessions, but most of the credit belongs to Hut 8 and IREN's AI infrastructure deals. Cipher's own catalyst, its first AWS rent payment, doesn't land until August.

Google is baking Gemini's blueprint directly into a new chip. The stock jumped 3%, and earnings land Wednesday
Alphabet shares jumped about 3% Monday on a report that it's building a new AI chip called Frozen v2, one that bakes Gemini's own architecture into the silicon. The real test comes Wednesday, when Alphabet reports Q2 earnings.

Kimi AI stopped taking new signups days after launch as GPU demand maxed out. Alphabet (GOOGL), Tesla (TSLA) and Intel (INTC) report into a chip bear market (week of July 20, 2026)
Moonshot paused new Kimi subscriptions three days after K3 launched because its GPUs hit capacity, which was our whole argument for chip stocks. This week: Alphabet, Tesla, Intel and Nokia earnings, $88 oil, and a Kospi reopen.

I gave five AIs a pretend $10,000 to pick 5 tech stocks. Four bought Nvidia (NVDA). Claude went rogue.
ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Meta AI and Claude each picked five tech stocks to hold for six months. Four bought Nvidia. Claude went the other way. Every pick is here and the scoreboard runs monthly.

China's Xi Jinping just launched a 29-nation AI bloc. That's bullish for US AI stocks (NVDA, PLTR)
Xi Jinping used the 2026 World AI Conference in Shanghai to launch a 29-nation World AI Cooperation Organization and take a shot at US chip export controls. History says Washington answers moves like this with money, and that is bullish for the US AI trade.

Meta is in talks to rent $10 billion of computing power to rival Anthropic (META)
The New York Times reports Meta is negotiating to lease AI rival Anthropic up to $10 billion in computing power, following the path SpaceX and TeraWulf already blazed.

SpaceX briefly fell below its IPO price today, and the revenue never supported a $2 trillion valuation
SpaceX dipped as low as around $132 on Wednesday, briefly trading below its $135 IPO price for the first time, before closing at $135.27, just pennies above it. With about $18.7 billion in revenue last year, a $2 trillion valuation was always a stretch, and Morningstar said as much before the IPO even priced.

Big tech is about to spend $725 billion on AI data centers. That's not what a bubble looks like.
Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta are guiding to roughly $725 billion in combined AI capex for 2026, up 77% from last year. States are moving to regulate the data centers that money builds, but the real risk to watch is that spending now outpaces free cash flow.

The Close, July 14: IBM lost a quarter of its value, and SK Hynix's Nasdaq stock jumped 27%
IBM lost about a quarter of its value in a single session after a weak preliminary report, and the damage spread across enterprise software. SK Hynix's brand-new Nasdaq stock went the other way, jumping 27% on a day chips broadly rallied.

Jim Cramer's tech calls, like Micron and Intel, are missing far more than everything else
We pulled 23 of Jim Cramer's stock calls from late April through early July and checked the real numbers. His tech picks are down 7.2% on average with just 1 winner out of 10. His other calls are roughly flat, and just under half are green.

China called Claude Code a security backdoor. Here's what it means for Anthropic's trillion-dollar IPO.
China's National Vulnerability Database called Anthropic's Claude Code a security backdoor, and Alibaba banned it. Amazon and Google's stakes in Anthropic already drive over half their quarterly profits, with a trillion-dollar IPO on the way.

Meta selling spare compute doesn't mean the AI crunch is over (META, CRWV, NBIS)
Chip stocks sold off on Meta's plan to rent out spare compute. But Meta itself just got rationed by Google and is locked into take-or-pay deals with CoreWeave and Nebius. Why the overcapacity story is shaky, plus what to watch next week.